Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.197412 0.233213 0.273263 0.321332 0.377404 0.440694 0.517496
2025-08-03 0.143113 0.188729 0.245213 0.320073 0.416443 0.536080 0.695610
2025-08-10 0.108451 0.155540 0.218519 0.308456 0.433078 0.599081 0.836316
2025-08-17 0.084239 0.129638 0.194396 0.292796 0.437684 0.642164 0.951374
2025-08-24 0.071043 0.116206 0.184307 0.293442 0.462683 0.713529 1.111392
2025-08-31 0.058802 0.101729 0.169835 0.284408 0.470631 0.759139 1.236804
2025-09-07 0.051651 0.093999 0.164335 0.287923 0.497408 0.834977 1.415523
2025-09-14 0.045281 0.086424 0.157760 0.288305 0.518393 0.902928 1.587882
2025-09-21 0.039265 0.078435 0.149188 0.283770 0.529905 0.955650 1.739479
2025-09-28 0.034631 0.072224 0.142802 0.282021 0.545604 1.016402 1.910244
2025-10-05 0.032645 0.070800 0.144983 0.296193 0.591543 1.134495 2.194088
2025-10-12 0.031280 0.070391 0.148980 0.314186 0.646424 1.273834 2.530036
2025-10-19 0.029088 0.068171 0.149593 0.326622 0.694141 1.408758 2.879897
2025-10-26 0.025907 0.063324 0.144239 0.326380 0.717056 1.499758 3.157431
2025-11-02 0.022242 0.056728 0.134164 0.314661 0.714680 1.540398 3.339307
2025-11-09 0.018825 0.050084 0.122940 0.298713 0.701007 1.556114 3.471316
2025-11-16 0.016996 0.046995 0.119325 0.299374 0.723627 1.649567 3.775706
2025-11-23 0.014812 0.042601 0.111956 0.290165 0.722644 1.692062 3.974567
2025-11-30 0.013607 0.040573 0.110031 0.293748 0.751700 1.803354 4.336325
2025-12-07 0.012375 0.038245 0.107000 0.294138 0.773107 1.899516 4.673669
2025-12-14 0.011057 0.035430 0.102276 0.289516 0.781582 1.966608 4.950614
2025-12-21 0.010011 0.033216 0.098822 0.287732 0.796932 2.051399 5.277910
2025-12-28 0.009686 0.033144 0.101253 0.302178 0.855908 2.247403 5.893050